Approaching Storms






Will provide updates through the evening that will be centered on the Monmouth/northern Ocean area

10:30 PM

8.8 inches in Neptune, 7.6 inches in the last 4 hours.  Snow shield continues to pivot in from the northeast although the intensity has diminished.  An additional 2 to 4 inches of snow is likely area wide so Neptune and surrounding towns will have a total accumulation of 11 to 13 inches.

The precipitation shield has shown little inclination to move eastward, but that should commence around midnight.  All snow will exit the coast by 3am.

Seeing many reports of 8 to 11 inches of snow in and around Monmouth and Ocean.  6 to 9 inches has fallen closer to NYC.  Western portions of NJ are also around 7 to 10 inches. So while some areas received snow at different times during the day, many places will finish with close to a foot of wet snow.

There are power outages throughout the shore area with the highest number in Ocean County and particularly in the Toms River area.  With the heavy snow sticking to every tree branch and wire, the threat of additional outages exists until tomorrow morning.

9:30 PM

7.4 inches in Neptune, 6.2 inches in the last 3 hours.  Heavy snow band continues over the same areas on NYC and NJ.

Monmouth and Ocean Counties will likely receive 9 to 12 inches of snow before it ends after midnight

8:35 PM 

5.2 inches in Neptune, 4 inches has fallen since 6:30 p.m.  Heavy snow band persists from NYC area southward through Monmouth and Ocean Counties.


Band of heavy snow pivoting through Ocean County and coastal Monmouth.  Reports of almost 3 inches of snow in 90 minutes under this band in portions of Ocean County.  

The band arrived in Neptune and the remainder of southeast Monmouth at around 6:45.  Radar indicates that this ban will slowly pivot over the area for the next couple of hours.  


Heavy band of snow runs from around Dover, DE east-northeastward through Ocean County.  This band is in association with a new convergence zone around the periphery of the developing coastal low.  It is pivoting northwestward and will move into Monmouth County around 6pm.  Snowfall rates of 1 to 2 inches per hour are occurring in the band


The upper low in association with our storm system was located very near the NJ coastline for the better part of the day causing dry slot issues for eastern NJ.  This upper low is finally moving offshore and radar has responded with solid returns filling in rapidly to our south and east.  We should finally start to make progress towards the snow accumulation forecast here in central NJ.  

The issue with the slow start along the coast has not been warm temperatures, but rather a lack of precipitation due to the upper low being tucked in so close (same reason why coastal sections didnt get more snow in the March 7th storm that crushed northern NJ)

As snow gets heavier from this point on and the sun begins to lower, we should start to pick up accumulations in the roadways.

Elsewhere, snow has been accumulating in western and northern NJ including the NYC area.  



The dry slot continues over the coastal counties but the precipitation shield is showing signs of filling in at this hour.  Moderate to heavy snow has enveloped the I-95 corridor and points west.

Patience is still warranted here along the coast.  Things should still come together shortly.



Still waiting on the heavy snow across a good portion of the eastern half of NJ.  Radar shows that eastern PA and western NJ are in the solid radar returns at this hour with moderate to heavy snow in interior southern NJ.  Another band is impacting the NYC area.

All layers have sufficiently cooled such that precipitation here on out will be in the form of snow.

Snow will increase in coverage and intensity and produce heavy snow at times throughout the area this afternoon and evening.  So while the storm is delayed, it will not be denied. 




Major Nor'Easter will impact the area through tonight

A mix of rain, sleet and snow will increase in coverage this morning across central and southern NJ, with primarily snow in northern NJ.  As we move through the mid-morning hours, mixed precipitation will change to all snow and by late morning, all areas will be snowing.

Winds will be increasing during the day with wind gusts of between 40 mph and 50 mph through the afternoon and evening.  Snow will continue and become heavy at times with difficult travel conditions due to snow and sleet covered roads and reduced visibility.  Snow will continue through the evening and gradually end just after midnight.

Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches are expected throughout the state with 3 to 6 inches along the immediate coast in southern NJ from southern Ocean County to Cape May.  As with the previous storms this month, there will be favored areas that will see the heaviest bands of snow.  Where these bands set up during the afternoon will determine which locations approach 12 inches of snow.  Right now, areas along and just west of the NJ Turnpike corridor appear to be the most likely candidate for the higher snow totals.

Minor coastal flooding is likely at the times of high tide on Wednesday (around 11:00 a.m. and 11:30 p.m.)  Coastal flooding will approach moderate levels in southern NJ.

Snow will taper down after midnight and with temperatures above freezing on Thursday with at least some sunshine, the snow will be melting quickly.

This will be a significant weather event for our area.  The combination of wind, sleet and snow may result in scattered power outages throughout the area. 

I have received some questions about why the predicted snow totals are lower than that of the National Weather Service.  I believe that those higher totals will be reserved for areas that get into the best banding and will be more localized in nature











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